Bank of Japan rate decision in December — Hike 25bps
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.7k traded · market at 68%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Bank of Japan rate decision in December — Hike 25bps | 0.670 | 0.700 | 68% | 2026-12-18 | $1.7k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bank of Japan — https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/index.htm
- Trading Economics — https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.