Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $18 traded · market at 6.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Michigan, New Hampsh | 0.040 | 0.090 | 6.5% | 2027-11-03 | $18 |
| kalshi | Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — New Hampshire, Alask | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2027-11-03 | — |
| kalshi | Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Michigan, Alaska, Oh | — | 0.010 | 0% | 2027-11-03 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Alaska Division of Elections — https://www.elections.alaska.gov/
- Michigan Secretary of State — https://www.michigan.gov/sos
- Maine Secretary of State, Division of Elections — https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections-voting/upcoming-election
- Ohio Secretary of State — https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/
- New Hampshire Secretary of State — https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.