Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Florida
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $3.1k traded · market at 32%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Florida | 0.320 | 0.330 | 32% | 2027-01-03 | $3.1k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Delaware Department of Elections — https://elections.delaware.gov/
- Illinois State Board of Elections — https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVote
- Georgia Secretary of State — https://results.sos.ga.gov/
- Michigan Secretary of State — https://www.michigan.gov/sos
- Maine Secretary of State, Division of Elections — https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections-voting/upcoming-election
- Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections Division — https://www.sec.state.ma.us/divisions/elections/elections-an
- Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- New Mexico Secretary of State, Elections Division — https://www.sos.nm.gov/voting-and-elections/
- New Jersey Division of Elections — https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/
- North Carolina State Board of Elections — https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/election-results
- Rhode Island Board of Elections — https://elections.ri.gov
- New Hampshire Secretary of State — https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections
- Minnesota Secretary of State — https://www.sos.mn.gov/elections-voting/election-results/
- Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division — https://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pages/default.aspx
- Virginia Department of Elections — https://www.elections.virginia.gov/
- Colorado Secretary of State — https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.