polyrag

Brazil Presidential election winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $373.1k traded · market at 14%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Brazil Presidential election winner? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 0.130 0.140 14% 2027-10-25 $402.6k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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