Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $467 traded · market at 57%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, | 0.370 | 0.590 | 48% | 2027-10-25 | $41 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) — https://international.tse.jus.br/en
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 58m ago +0.150
- price move 1h ago -0.250
- price move 2h ago +0.250
- price move 7h ago -0.265
- price move 8h ago +0.225
- price move 10h ago -0.110
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- price move 18h ago -0.245
- price move 21h ago +0.290
- price move 1d ago -0.055
- price move 1d ago -0.230
- price move 2d ago +0.150