Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 46%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $4.3k traded · market at 86%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — At least 46% | 0.830 | 0.880 | 86% | 2027-10-25 | $4.3k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) — https://international.tse.jus.br/en
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.