Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $4.3k traded · market at 20%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9% | 0.170 | 0.220 | 20% | 2027-10-25 | $2.4k |
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9% | 0.080 | 0.110 | 9.5% | 2027-10-25 | $1.2k |
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, | 0.040 | 0.100 | 7.0% | 2027-10-25 | $479 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) — https://international.tse.jus.br/en
Recent activity
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