Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 6-9%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $65 traded · market at 1.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 6-9% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2027-10-25 | $28 |
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2027-10-25 | $28 |
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9% | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2027-10-25 | $9 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) — https://international.tse.jus.br/en