Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate? — Before Oct 25, 2026
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6.9k traded · market at 67%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate? — Before Oct 25 | 0.630 | 0.670 | 65% | 2026-10-25 | $6.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- YouTube — https://kalshi.com/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- C-SPAN — https://www.c-span.org/
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- their official campaigns or representatives — https://kalshi.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- Semafor — https://semafor.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
- official website or social media accounts of any organization hosting the debate — https://kalshi.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
Recent activity
- volume spike 1d ago
- price move 2d ago -0.115