BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,000 or above
kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $14.4k traded · market at 98%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,000 or above | 0.960 | 0.980 | 97% | 2026-10-16 | $12.2k |
| kalshi | BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,000 or above | 0.980 | 0.990 | 98% | 2026-10-13 | $2.1k |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- CF Benchmarks — https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbe
Recent activity
- volume spike 9h ago