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CA-48 House election: Jim Desmond vote percent — At least 44%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $411 traded · market at 15%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi CA-48 House election: Jim Desmond vote percent — At least 44% — 0.340 34% 2027-11-03 $411
kalshi CA-48 House election: Jim Desmond vote percent — At least 48% 0.100 0.200 15% 2027-11-03 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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