CA-48 House election: Marni von Wilpert vote percent — At least 56%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $486 traded · market at 43%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | CA-48 House election: Marni von Wilpert vote percent — At least 56% | 0.380 | 0.480 | 43% | 2027-11-03 | $486 |
| kalshi | CA-48 House election: Marni von Wilpert vote percent — At least 48% | 0.920 | — | 0% | 2027-11-03 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official government website of <geography> — https://www.usa.gov/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- book opened 9h ago