California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? — Fresno
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $3.2k traded · market at 70%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? — Fresno | 0.680 | 0.730 | 70% | 2027-11-03 | $3.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Cochise County Elections — https://www.cochise.az.gov/elections
- Arizona Secretary of State — https://azsos.gov
- Yuma County Voter and Election Services — https://www.yumacountyaz.gov/government/voter-election-servi
- Maricopa County Elections — https://elections.maricopa.gov/
- Pinal County Elections — https://www.pinal.gov/votes
- Navajo County Elections — https://www.navajocountyaz.gov/Departments/Elections
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.