polyrag

California Governor winner? — Xavier Becerra

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $6.3M traded · market at 96%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi California Governor winner? (Person) — Xavier Becerra 0.958 0.959 96% 2027-11-03 $5.8M
kalshi California Governor winner? — Xavier Becerra 0.961 0.965 96% 2027-11-03 $470.0k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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