California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes) — Yes, ≥1%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $3.1k traded · market at 26%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes) — Yes, ≥1% | 0.230 | 0.290 | 26% | 2027-11-03 | $3.1k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography> — https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.