polyrag

Core CPI in December (exact value) — Exactly 0.3%

kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $189 traded · market at 42%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Core CPI in December (exact value) — Exactly 0.3% 0.370 0.470 42% 2027-01-13 $189
kalshi CPI in December (exact value) — Exactly 0.3% 0.190 0.290 24% 2027-01-13 —
kalshi Core CPI in December (exact value) — Exactly 0.0% 0.010 0.080 4.5% 2027-01-13 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.