polyrag

Core CPI YoY in November (exact value) — Exactly 2.4%

kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $37 traded · market at 10%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Core CPI YoY in November (exact value) — Exactly 2.4% — 0.050 5.0% 2026-12-10 $25
kalshi CPI YoY in November (exact value) — Exactly 2.4% — 0.050 1.0% 2026-12-10 $12
kalshi CPI YoY in November (exact value) — Exactly 4.2% 0.050 0.150 10% 2026-12-10 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.