CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.5%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $428 traded · market at 34%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.5% | 0.320 | 0.370 | 34% | 2026-10-14 | $400 |
| kalshi | CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.5% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 | $28 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.