polyrag

CPI in October — Above 0.4%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.4k traded · market at 8.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi CPI in October — Above 0.4% 0.060 0.110 8.5% 2026-11-10 $741
kalshi CPI core in October — Above 0.4% 0.030 0.040 3.5% 2026-11-10 $630

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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