polyrag

CPI in September — Above 0.5%

kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $415.2k traded · market at 66%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi CPI in September — Above 0.5% 0.680 0.690 68% 2026-10-14 $430.2k
kalshi CPI in September — Above 0.0% 0.990 — 99% 2026-10-14 $10.6k
kalshi CPI core in September — Above 0.5% — 0.010 1.0% 2026-10-14 $64

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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