CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.4%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $65 traded · market at 16%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.4% | 0.060 | 0.260 | 16% | 2026-11-10 | $45 |
| kalshi | CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.4% | 0.010 | 0.180 | 9.5% | 2026-11-10 | $20 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.