polyrag

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.1%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $4 traded · market at 8.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.1% — 0.010 2.0% 2027-01-13 $4
kalshi CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.1% 0.010 0.160 8.5% 2027-01-13 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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