polyrag

CPI YoY in December (exact value) — Exactly 3.2%

kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $2 traded · market at 5.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi CPI YoY in December (exact value) — Exactly 3.2% — 0.040 1.0% 2027-01-13 $2
kalshi Core CPI YoY in December (exact value) — Exactly 2.3% — 0.050 0% 2027-01-13 —
kalshi Core CPI YoY in December (exact value) — Exactly 3.2% 0.010 0.090 5.0% 2027-01-13 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.