polyrag

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 56

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $213 traded · market at 6.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 56 0.060 0.070 6.5% 2029-02-01 $129
kalshi Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Above 56 0.090 0.180 14% 2029-02-01 $84

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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