Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Below 45
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $163 traded · market at 8.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Below 45 | 0.080 | 0.090 | 8.5% | 2029-02-01 | $116 |
| kalshi | Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 45 | 0.050 | 0.060 | 5.5% | 2029-02-01 | $47 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- United States Congress — https://www.congress.gov/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.