Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.80
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $294 traded · market at 12%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.80 | 0.050 | 0.130 | 9.0% | 2026-11-03 | $294 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- AAA — https://gasprices.aaa.com/ daily national and state averages — published
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.