European Central Bank rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $846 traded · market at 73%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | European Central Bank rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps | 0.710 | 0.760 | 74% | 2026-12-17 | $846 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- European Central Bank — https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/ke
- Trading Economics — https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/interest-rate
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.