polyrag

European Parliament election winner? — ESN

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $24 traded · market at 4.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi European Parliament election winner? — ESN 0.040 0.050 4.5% 2030-06-10 $24

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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