Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $174.7k traded · market at 74%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps | 0.730 | 0.750 | 74% | 2026-12-09 | $167.5k |
| kalshi | Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike >25bps | 0.020 | 0.030 | 2.5% | 2026-12-09 | $7.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov rates and series — FRED public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
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