polyrag

Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Hike 25bps

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $4.3k traded · market at 8.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Hike 25bps 0.030 0.140 8.5% 2027-12-08 $3.6k
kalshi Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Hike >25bps 0.030 0.090 6.0% 2027-12-08 $775

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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