polyrag

Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Cut 25bps

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $173 traded · market at 13%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Cut 25bps 0.090 0.160 12% 2028-01-26 $92
kalshi Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Cut >25bps 0.050 0.340 20% 2028-01-26 $81

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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