polyrag

Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Hike 25bps

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $723 traded · market at 30%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Hike 25bps 0.290 0.300 30% 2027-06-09 $677
kalshi Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Hike >25bps — 0.070 3.0% 2027-06-09 $46

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.