polyrag

Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Cut 25bps

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $9.5k traded · market at 11%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Cut 25bps 0.100 0.120 11% 2027-10-27 $7.4k
kalshi Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Cut >25bps 0.040 0.050 4.5% 2027-10-27 $2.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.