France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.5% of GDP
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $3.6k traded · market at 96%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.5% of GDP | 0.950 | 0.980 | 96% | 2027-04-20 | $2.9k |
| kalshi | France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.5% of GDP | 0.720 | 0.790 | 76% | 2027-04-20 | $650 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- International Monetary Fund — https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.