French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? — Raphaël Glucksmann
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $15.8k traded
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? — Raphaël Glucksmann | 0.970 | — | 96% | 2027-10-01 | $15.8k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections — https://kalshi.com/
- in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission — https://kalshi.com/
- constitutional court — https://kalshi.com/
Recent activity
- volume spike 2d ago
- price move 2d ago +0.180
- price move 2d ago -0.125