Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2029
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $546 traded · market at 85%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2029 | 0.830 | 0.870 | 85% | 2029-01-01 | $546 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Federal Government of Germany — https://www.bundesregierung.de/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com
- German Bundestag — https://www.bundestag.de/
- Associated Press — https://apnews.com
- Office of the Federal Chancellor of Germany — https://www.bundeskanzler.de/