polyrag

Gambian presidential election winner? — Adama Barrow

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $5.2k traded · market at 72%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Gambian presidential election winner? — Adama Barrow 0.700 0.730 72% 2027-12-31 $5.2k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.