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Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)? — Above 8.7%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.1k traded · market at 16%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)? — Above 8.7% 0.150 0.160 16% 2026-10-16 $1.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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