polyrag

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.2%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $418 traded · market at 44%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.2% 0.360 0.490 42% 2026-10-14 $192

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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