Generic congressional ballot on Oct 28, 2026? — 8.2%
kalshi · 4 contracts · 3 deadlines · $3.3k traded · market at 30%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 28, 2026? — 8.2% | 0.880 | — | 99% | 2026-10-28 | $3.3k |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 27, 2026? — 8.2% | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-27 | $22 |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 26, 2026? — 8.2% | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-26 | $3 |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 29, 2026? — 8.2% | 0.210 | 0.400 | 30% | 2026-10-29 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 3h ago +0.070
- price move 4h ago +0.120
- price move 5h ago +0.150
- price move 5h ago -0.065
- price move 5h ago +0.125
- price move 7h ago +0.085
- price move 8h ago -0.200
- price move 9h ago +0.075
- price move 12h ago -0.110
- price move 12h ago +0.050
- price move 13h ago +0.060
- price move 16h ago +0.220