Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026? — 8.6%
kalshi · 4 contracts · 3 deadlines · $62 traded · market at 7.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.6% | — | — | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 | $158 |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026? — 8.6% | — | 0.020 | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 | $33 |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.6% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 | $29 |
| kalshi | Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.6% | 0.020 | 0.100 | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 | $0 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 26m ago -0.220
- price move 36m ago +0.220
- price move 6h ago +0.060
- price move 12h ago -0.030
- price move 13h ago -0.045
- price move 1d ago -0.195
- price move 1d ago -0.225
- price move 1d ago +0.370
- price move 1d ago -0.170
- price move 1d ago +0.115
- price move 1d ago -0.040
- price move 1d ago -0.035