German presidential election winner? — Ilse Aigner
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $173 traded · market at 31%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | German presidential election winner? — Ilse Aigner | 0.330 | 0.870 | 60% | 2028-01-30 | $224 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- German Bundestag — https://www.bundestag.de/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 1h ago +0.300
- price move 13h ago -0.140
- price move 15h ago -0.065
- price move 15h ago +0.265
- price move 1d ago -0.170
- price move 1d ago +0.170
- price move 2d ago +0.060