polyrag

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 11, 2026? — 91° to 92°

kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $862 traded · market at 1.5%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 11, 2026? — 91° to 92° 0.010 0.020 1.5% 2026-10-12 $539
kalshi Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 13, 2026? — 91° to 92° 0.020 0.030 2.5% 2026-10-14 $323

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity