Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — Bill Harvey
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $54 traded · market at 14%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — Bill Harvey | 0.110 | 0.180 | 14% | 2027-10-27 | $54 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tasmanian Electoral Commission — https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/local-government/elections-2026/i
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago -0.065
- price move 1d ago -0.090
- price move 1d ago -0.055
- price move 1d ago -0.080
- price move 1d ago +0.285
- price move 1d ago -0.080
- book opened 2d ago