Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — John Kelly
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $8 traded · market at 42%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — John Kelly | 0.380 | 0.460 | 42% | 2027-10-27 | $8 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tasmanian Electoral Commission — https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/local-government/elections-2026/i
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.