Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — Ryan Posselt
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6 traded · market at 9.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — Ryan Posselt | 0.050 | 0.140 | 9.5% | 2027-10-27 | $6 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Tasmanian Electoral Commission — https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/local-government/elections-2026/i
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.