polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 214-217

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $10.8k traded · market at 3.2%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

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kalshi How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 214-217 0.030 0.037 3.4% 2027-02-01 $10.8k

How this settles

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