How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — 6
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $567 traded · market at 18%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — 6 | 0.150 | 0.210 | 18% | 2027-11-03 | $373 |
| kalshi | How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — Above 6 | 0.020 | 0.070 | 4.5% | 2027-11-03 | $194 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election> — https://kalshi.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.