polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in California? — 48

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $10.1k traded · market at 72%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in California? — 48 0.710 0.740 72% 2027-11-03 $10.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.