polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota? — 5

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.1k traded · market at 18%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota? — 5 0.160 0.250 20% 2027-11-03 $1.0k
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota? — Above 5 0.020 0.030 2.5% 2027-11-03 $109

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.